Here is what I don't understand: Wuhan was locked down at a few hundred confirmed cases, way too late and expensive, leading to 68K cases and 3K deaths. China learned the lesson and shut down other places much earlier, leading to <1.5K cases and <20 deaths in each. Why do we do?
I don't think it's a magnitude less, because Seattle alone should have more than 1000 cases by now. We have a thousand *confirmed* cases in the US, and only just begun testing. I am optimistic that it is not a magnitude more either, because then we should see more deaths.