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Plinz's profile
Joscha Bach
Joscha Bach
Joscha Bach
@Plinz

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Joscha Bach

@Plinz

FOLLOWS YOU. Artificial Intelligence, Cognitive Architectures, Computation. The goal is integrity, not conformity.

San Francisco, CA
bach.ai
Joined April 2009

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    1. Joscha Bach‏ @Plinz Mar 10
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      Here is what I don't understand: Wuhan was locked down at a few hundred confirmed cases, way too late and expensive, leading to 68K cases and 3K deaths. China learned the lesson and shut down other places much earlier, leading to <1.5K cases and <20 deaths in each. Why do we do?

      6 replies 14 retweets 84 likes
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    2. Joscha Bach‏ @Plinz Mar 10
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      We know how fast and inevitably the disease spreads right now. The US has over 10K cases at this moment. We also know that we cannot afford millions of people dying: lockdowns will be inevitable. Why did we not start them weeks ago, why not at least now? What are we waiting for?

      5 replies 5 retweets 38 likes
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      Joscha Bach‏ @Plinz Mar 11
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      If Seattle, San Francisco, Los Angeles, New York City were Chinese cities, they would be under quarantine, just as Italy is now. Instead we seem hell-bent to wait until each of them turns into Wuhan. Lockdowns are expensive, but every passing day makes them more costly!

      12:01 AM - 11 Mar 2020
      • 5 Retweets
      • 32 Likes
      • Mimetic Contagion Kif Kroker Mary Bush Mike Frison Snigdha Roy Adam Strandberg Tobias Fiebig Tim L Sacha Saint-Leger
      3 replies 5 retweets 32 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Joscha Bach‏ @Plinz Mar 11
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          Lockdowns enable the concentration of medical resources and military support into few regions (yes, we will probably need the national guard and the military) instead of spreading the crisis into every corner of the country.

          1 reply 0 retweets 17 likes
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        3. Joscha Bach‏ @Plinz Mar 11
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          There are tons of smart people who observed China, Singapore and Italy and can see the writing on the wall. MIT and Stanford have stopped classes and gatherings. Google, Twitter and Amazon have sent their employees home. Is nobody in the administration paying any attention?

          3 replies 5 retweets 31 likes
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        4. Joscha Bach‏ @Plinz Mar 11
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          Why is the TSA infecting passengers at airports? Why are thousands of homeless still sleeping and coughing in the streets of San Francisco's city center? Why are testkits still limited? Why are we out of PPE? Why are Alex Azar and Robert Redfield still in charge of anything?

          1 reply 0 retweets 27 likes
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        5. Joscha Bach‏ @Plinz Mar 11
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          Why is the Surgeon General lying about the efficacy of masks? Why does most of the press think it's more important to fight a War on Panic than to warn and inform about what's happening? Is there really no adult in the room?

          10 replies 2 retweets 43 likes
          Show this thread
        6. End of conversation
        1. New conversation
        2. Richard‏ @raelianer Mar 11
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          Replying to @Plinz

          Can you really contain it at that point? For 18 months? Not a single person must remain undetected. I think you might be able to achieve that with total surveillance, but what will be the consequences?

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Joscha Bach‏ @Plinz Mar 11
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          Replying to @raelianer

          Of course. If we don't contain it, 40%–80% may get infected, the resulting death rate will be 5%–6% (due to lack of medical resources), and 6.5M–16M people will die in the US. We will not let that happen. China, South Korea, Taiwan and Singapore show that it can be stomped out.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. David Schneider-Joseph‏ @TheDavidSJ Mar 11
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          Replying to @Plinz

          Lockdowns are politically much more expensive when it's not yet obvious to your average ignorant-of-exponentials citizen that they're necessary.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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