I think most people aren’t aware of the risk of systemic healthcare failure due to #COVID19 because they simply haven’t run the numbers yet. Let’s talk math. 1/n
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Replying to @LizSpecht @Cernovich
This epidemic has been going on for several months now and we are only at 100k cases globally. How do we get to 1MM only in the U.S. by the end of April? Your scenario is somewhat overblown.
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do you not know what exponential means? she explained it pretty well in the thread
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Replying to @Sperg18 @UncleEverett and
I think his point is if it started 3 months ago and infections grow exponentially we should have been over 1 mil by now. It would be naive to think no spreaders came to the US till Feb; they were probably here by Jan already, plus the fact EU people have been coming as well.
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Which part of 6 days doubling time don't you understand? Within 90 days, the number of patients would double 15 times, so a single patient back then will have led to 33000 cases today. From 33000 cases to a million it takes just one more month.
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