Joscha Bach Retweeted Paul Graham
@tylercowen argues that there are two types of thinking about C19: growthers and baseraters. Growthers are nerds who deal with exponential functions a lot, but may overestimate the power of math. Baseraters remember that things worked out in the past. https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2020-03-03/how-fast-will-the-new-coronavirus-spread-two-sides-of-the-debate?utm_content=view&cmpid%3D=socialflow-twitter-view&utm_source=twitter&utm_campaign=socialflow-organic&utm_medium=social …https://twitter.com/paulg/status/1235247452145451013 …
Joscha Bach added,
Paul GrahamVerified account @paulg
People aren't surprised when I tell them there are 13,000 Covid-19 cases outside China, or when I tell them this number doubles every 3 days. But when I tell them that if growth continues at this rate, we'll have 1.7 million cases in 3 weeks, they're astonished.
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10:20 AM - 4 Mar 2020
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