BREAKING: @WHO says the **case-fatality rate for #coronavirus is 3.4%**.
The 1918 Spanish Flu that killed 50 million worldwide (population 1.9 billion) had a CFR of ~2.5%, whereas usual seasonal flu is 0.1%
NOT good.
#COVID19 #CoronavirusOutbreak #pandemic
h/t @lauferlawhttps://twitter.com/WHO/status/1234872254883909642 …
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3.4%
331 million Americans x .034 = potential 11.25 mil
8 replies 10 retweets 31 likes -
Replying to @Pinche_Pi @DrDenaGrayson and
That’s 3.4% of people infected not total population.
5 replies 0 retweets 47 likes -
Replying to @NayOhMeMe @WHO
Well...who’s infected? We don’t know because testing is utterly deficient in scope.
2 replies 1 retweet 4 likes -
Replying to @mindfulhealth1 @WHO
It would still be wrong to assume every single person will be infected. Now that might change at a later date but right now firmly saying 11+ million Americans are going to die is fearmongering and irresponsible
1 reply 1 retweet 4 likes -
Replying to @NayOhMeMe @WHO
“Firmly saying”? Hmm, no! It’s an estimate based on a worst case scenario; which, in cases of pandemic, is good practice to take seriously. Time will tell, as always.
1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @mindfulhealth1 @WHO
Never in the history of ever have I seen an epidemiologist estimate every single person will become infected
2 replies 0 retweets 5 likes -
Marc Lipsitch (Harvard) and Christian Drosten (Charité Berlin) both expect that ~70% of the population will get infected. Let's hope that does not happen, but given the world wide infection rates of H1N1 it is realistic.
1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes -
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Yes, it's more infectious. OTOH, it is also more deadly, so people will pay more attention.
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