Data from South Korea (most robust testing regime out there so far) suggests mortality rate may be as low as <1% (1766 cases, 13 deaths) Countries with higher reported mortality may be missing many untested asymptomatic carriers, therefore exaggerating the death rate
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Replying to @RealFacelessMan
Too early to tell. Most people die after 3 weeks, at which point South Korea had very few cases. Aylward thinks that the Chinese numbers are largely correct due to their massive testing efforts, i.e. he doesn't expect subclinical cases to bring down mortality by a large amount.
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Replying to @Plinz
"if you look at the mortality rate of this disease outside of China, right now we're looking at around 0.5%" ~ Dr Redfield, CDC Director (watch from 1:50:31) cc:
@Whey_standard@varadmehtahttps://youtu.be/uHcMV6-nJ_E?t=6631 …2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes -
Yes, right now. The world is still a month behind China.
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Diamond Princess is also another good test case though. 705 cases, 4 deaths. That's sub 1%. And that's a cruise with avg age higher than the general population.
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And all deaths elderly Japanese so far. Lets see what happens.
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