1 pt only: In the beginning of a *pandemic, a high % of the noted cases will be the ones that r dire because the very mild cases will have gone unnoticed. IOW, one expects the death rate to go down as more people get tested.
Replying to @JaniceBrauner @hollymathnerd
In the beginning of a pandemic, there is exponential growth, so the death rate reflects the small fraction of cases that were already sick 2-4 weeks ago. The death rate usually ends up where dead/sick and dead/(recovered+dead) meet. It drops later when treatments are established.
1:13 PM - 27 Feb 2020
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