Thread on deducing the death rate of 2019-nCoV: OK, I think I get it now, sorry that I have been so dense. China is relating the number of confirmed cases instead of the best estimates, which relates more to the testing capacity in the crisis region than to the incidence.
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we’re only 10 days out from the numbers only being plausible as a statistical measure because the testing capacity for a million people in 24 hours won’t be credible
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Perhaps it will reveal to which extent people are living with compromised immune systems?
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