Official Coronavirus cases include only those with a full diagnosis, which requires hospital admission and test kit, both of which are scarce in the crisis region. If people in Wuhan are infected at the same rate as foreign evacuees, then Wuhan alone has over 150K cases now.
I am pretty sure that the eventual recovery rate is substantially higher than the mortality. Only about 25% of all cases seem to be severe. Recovery may take a while regardless.
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I think you are right.
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