You could’ve said the same thing when making the switch from farming to industry. There’s unlimited room in STEM.
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I’d love to talk this through sometime Naval. My fear is that there is a big difference. I might rephrase and say “there may yet be unlimited room in creativity and discovery based areas, but repetitive occupations may be over...even in STEM.” But I don’t know if you’d agree.
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We agree. STEM workers transfer repetitive jobs to software and robots. What remains is creative work and the demand for human creativity, in all facets of life, is unlimited.
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Replying to @naval @EricRWeinstein and
Where is it written that there will always be creative work that is *best* done by humans? And what guarantees that most humans will be able to do that work?
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Replying to @SamHarrisOrg @naval and
As a professional creative person with experience coding, I’d bet on the robots. My internal creative processes feel entirely programmable. Combine that code with rapid audience testing and I’d give human artists ten more years, tops.
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Replying to @ScottAdamsSays @SamHarrisOrg and
I would take the other side of that bet, if well structured. But of course the bar for creativity (that’s in demand) keeps rising as the tools get better.
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Replying to @naval @ScottAdamsSays and
I would agree w/ Naval here for the most demanding creative tasks in the next 10-20 years. But I don’t think this says much about Sam’s point. And even so, most of us aren’t going to be sufficiently creative to exploit current opportunities w/ sub-AGI deep learning machines.
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Replying to @EricRWeinstein @naval and
Please define creative ( beyond "non repetitive") ? There is much confusion around this word and kids are simply deciding they are " creatives" because they like to doodle.
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Replying to @davidarredondo @EricRWeinstein and
Creativity is bridging discontinuities in a search space.
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Replying to @Plinz @EricRWeinstein and
That's your definition of creativity?
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Yes. It often involves re-describing an aspect of the universe in new ways and inventing new models. There is no secret sauce in bio brains that will not be available to artificial ones.
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Replying to @Plinz @EricRWeinstein and
Fair but limited and rests on parochial assumptions. ( No new ecologies in universe and *secret sauce * ) Close enough for conversation about human jobs.
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