Sounds like to me Elon is smoking that whacky tabbacy again. Highly doubtful he’ll have ANY fully autonomous cars on the road in 2020 let alone a million. Everything I hear is that the Tesla software is very far away from prime time for full autonomous.
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He is hedging: the million would be achieved sometime in 2021 or so. It seems to be part of Elon's strategy that he tries to inhabit a different universe and exerts a force that pulls ours closer to his. As long as he is not reporting on stock market prices in his universe...
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I know it’s odd but I’m fascinated to discover how insurance will be dealt with. If a fully autonomous vehicle is never driven by humans shouldn’t the responsibility fall on manufacturer?
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I am clueless on this, but I imagine there will be specific policies and a subsidiary of the manufacturer that can absorb the risk of bankruptcy in case of a software defect that leads to a class action lawsuit. Tesla might even offer a mode of leasing that includes insurance.
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Human drivers are just a temporary fix for Uber anyway. Once cars can go to the next place they are needed by themselves, many fewer people will own a car personally. Tesla will make the autonomous cars, and Uber will operate them. No destruction, but symbiosis.
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I think that Elon may be very optimistic wrt dealing with edge cases in the software, with the legal situation, with the public sentiment, and with production numbers. But if it would all work, there would be no reason for him to not write an Uber app by himself.
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Good. Ceterum censeo Uber esse delendam.
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