What psychologists have termed “assymetric updating.” It’s a common form of disinformation. But why bother quoting the favorable polls? If can ignore the unfavorable ones, why not just make up the favorable ones or act as if they exist even when don’t?https://twitter.com/atrupar/status/1050167849845698560 …
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Replying to @Moshe_Hoffman
More subtly: if our minds work correctly, we will update on every piece of information. If the information we are fed does not sample the ground truth correctly, and we have no way to detect the publication bias, our opinion can always be controlled.
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Replying to @Plinz
Sure. But everyone, including trump supporters know he is doing this. I mean he straight out publicly and explicitly announced he is doing this. That’s what makes it so puzzling.
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Replying to @Moshe_Hoffman
People without epistemology have no agency over their beliefs, so you can basically collapse them into camps and traits. The people with agency play along because they think it serves their interests.
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Replying to @Plinz
Yeah but that doesn’t explain why he uses this trick. Why there is an assymetry between confirmatory and disconfirmatory evidence (why not just make random shit up?)
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Replying to @Moshe_Hoffman
I suspect that he sits on top of a twitter feedback loop, largely ignores msm, and sees what sticks?
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Replying to @Moshe_Hoffman
Have you seen Trump talk to people? Not academics, but normal people?
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There are lots of videos on youtube. I found it fascinating. Like a preschool teacher talking to children, enthusing them for the next session, or telling them to dislike bacteria. Very direct, very emotional, with little appeal to reason or reflection.
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