Replying to @olivertraldi @ortoiseortoise
Very simply put: political predictions are statistical, with uncertain confounders, and about events that happen only once. If you randomly generate models, some will fit. If you select a fitting model *after* the fact, it does not mean much.
8:37 AM - 17 Jul 2018
0 replies
0 retweets
5 likes
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.