Hypothesis: The Roman Empire did not fail because its leaders were too stupid and irrational, but because they were too smart and rational, and short game incentives outperformed long games. Catholicism solved that by limiting rationality and turning society into a cult.
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Chinese and Arabs were able to preserve knowledge such that when Western Europe had an opportunity to crawl back, it did not require the recreation of past knowledge. It would not have mattered if Western civilization made it or not. Some other civ would have taken its place.
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To be fair, Mongols were badass.
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But arguably not very civilized.
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