It is fascinating that people often interpret uncertainty as room for influence. For instance, the fact that we don't know the exact amount of global warming in 2100 or the year in which US democracy fails does not mean that we can influence it within the bounds of uncertainty.
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Replying to @Plinz
If you mistake general opinion for reality, then it’s logical to mistake the range of arguable opinion for your range of influence over reality. Natural error for folks in the persuasion business.
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Replying to @alexisgallagher
It also makes sense for influencers, because they can usually only regulate reality via regulating public opinion. Public opinion is more real to them than mere facts.
12:56 AM - 3 Jul 2018
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