This thread by @fchollet, applied to Bayesianism, is the basic counterargument to the last ten years of “AGI as existential threat”.https://twitter.com/fchollet/status/1010988618993655808 …
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"once you add external memory and suitable tool libraries, it is not even clear to me that an ANN could not learn the equivalent of the transition function of a brain" is, again and unfortunately, science fiction. What are the reasons to believe this?
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A lot of very complex systems have relatively simple transition functions. If you want to argue how to best build a system, you need different arguments than for your much stronger claim that a system can not possibly be built in a particular way.
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