Stats people, help me out. For all the people like @gelliottmorris making probabilistic forecasts of winning back the House, updated to three significant figures... how are you supposed to validate those models when you only get to observe one outcome?
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Replying to @Pinboard @gelliottmorris
This is about to devolve into a horrible battle of Bayesians vs Frequentists. But let me get some popcorn...
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Replying to @beenwrekt @gelliottmorris
my body is ready
9:18 AM - 17 May 2018
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