This version of the @mattyglesias / @davidshor bit, which is basically *the* CW for generations of politicos, is pretty persuasive (and in a form/content merger avoids being needlessly trollish towards those it is addressed to.)https://www.slowboring.com/p/the-median-voter-is-a-50-something …
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I dunno. It only acknowledges at the end that the true people who are sabotaging the most popular components of Biden's agenda are so-called moderates (which demands a very different sort of analysis than what came before)
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Replying to @HeerJeet @chrislhayes and
Think this was a pretty decent analysis of that phenomenonhttps://www.slowboring.com/p/moderate-democrats-should-be-popularists …
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Replying to @EricLevitz @HeerJeet and
It was, which is why I remain mystified as to why the Democratic left is still the target of "the do popular stuff" scolding. Say what you will about the 2020 election, the Democratic left has very clearly shifted course toward exactly this strategy!
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Replying to @jbouie @EricLevitz and
I think it's right that things have stopped getting worse. But we need a dramatic reversal in education polarization in order to not lose ten senate seats over the next three years, and neither faction in the party is particularly interested in that goal.
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Replying to @davidshor @jbouie and
is that a remotely plausible goal? a 'dramatically reversal' of educational polarization--over the next three years?
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Replying to @Nate_Cohn @jbouie and
It's not clear to me whether it's possible (though it might be!), but if it doesn't happen things really get very bleak in 2024. It'd be better to act *before* we have 42 senate seats rather than after.
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Replying to @davidshor @jbouie and
seems like the more realistic path to avoiding that is a decisive victory with a certain amount of depolarization--which probably go hand in hand. i don't really see how you go back to winning ohio/iowa and losing georgia/arizona
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Replying to @Nate_Cohn @jbouie and
I think in practice the path to education depolarization and the path to getting 54% of the vote are pretty similar to each other, and also think that neither faction of the Democratic party seems remotely interested in doing what you'd need to get there.
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I wonder if either of you consider the phenomenon of "flattening" (where every local and state election is now effectively nationalized, and it's getting harder to find elections run on local issues that don't track the D/R split) as part of this polarization, or its own thing.
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Replying to @Pinboard @Nate_Cohn and
I think it's mostly it's own thing. The decline in ticket splitting has been happening gradually, basically without interruption, for the past 20 years. I think it basically has to do with the rise of national media. https://twitter.com/davidshor/status/1048585872315232257 …pic.twitter.com/EOC6QkqLGY
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