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Pinboard

@Pinboard

The light inside is broken, but I still work. The Cadillac of online bookmarking sites. Alleged nocoiner. http://pinboard.in  maciej@ceglowski.com +1 415 610 0231

Lonely street of broken dreams
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Joined July 2009

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    1. Pinboard‏ @Pinboard Jun 13

      Pinboard Retweeted Matt Grossmann

      Glad to see this (and previous tweet) in data form. This is why there won't be a Great Slate in 2022. Elections down to the county level are now so strongly welded to national politics that the name to the left of the (R) or (D) on the ballot simply doesn't matter.https://twitter.com/MattGrossmann/status/1402082904809869316 …

      Pinboard added,

      Matt GrossmannVerified account @MattGrossmann
      The nationalization of the 2020 elections meant that local factors such as incumbency, candidate quality, & campaign spending barely registered in comparison to partisanship & presidential views, continuing a long decline #polisciresearch https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1111/psq.12724?casa_token=FGS1dmW1UaMAAAAA%3A30pD3cuhbAVEVM1CN-HTr3nqyFq7T5SsbhGyEpfEOmO_mUFol9rYdwCAGUogbTlr9VlkyF54Vl0LOQ … pic.twitter.com/V2Gq9BCHzx
      Show this thread
      7 replies 23 retweets 91 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Pinboard‏ @Pinboard Jun 13

      One way around this problem (the Justice Democrats approach) is to pick districts that you know will be solid D and try to move them in a preferred ideological direction in the primaries. But this strategy only reinforces the polarization.

      4 replies 0 retweets 15 likes
      Show this thread
    3. Pinboard‏ @Pinboard Jun 13

      I'm very proud of our support for one of the few exceptions to this rule, Jared Golden in Maine's second district. But if there's a way to transfer that to other parts of the country and break through the strict party identity, I have not found it, and money just can't change it.

      2 replies 0 retweets 24 likes
      Show this thread
    4. Pinboard‏ @Pinboard Jun 13

      I believe U.S. politics is stuck right now for reasons related to the telescoping of distance by social media, and a deepening split of public life into two disjoint public spheres. I have no idea how to fix this; all I can say is fundraising is probably just making things worse.

      2 replies 10 retweets 50 likes
      Show this thread
    5. Pinboard‏ @Pinboard Jun 13

      The pandemic was a clarifying moment for me, too. When people double down on their political beliefs at the risk of their health, that means there's no flyer or lawn sign or "deeply empathetic meaningful conversation" with a stranger interrupting your dinner that's going to help

      4 replies 21 retweets 100 likes
      Show this thread
    6. Pinboard‏ @Pinboard Jun 13

      My political plans for 2022:https://www.theonion.com/man-who-thought-hed-lost-all-hope-loses-last-additional-1819565674 …

      2 replies 3 retweets 61 likes
      Show this thread
      Pinboard‏ @Pinboard Jun 13

      If you held a gun to my head and forced me to keep doing political stuff in 2022, after begging you to pull the trigger, the next thing I would try would be some outlandish ideas like getting blue state remote work people to move to low-population red states for an election cycle

      8:58 AM - 13 Jun 2021
      • 7 Retweets
      • 53 Likes
      • Peter Cook Sara Manns Chris Owens quaternary operator Glenwood Morris adamjodonnell AB Cliff Braun Huft Rempoble
      10 replies 7 retweets 53 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Pinboard‏ @Pinboard Jun 13

          Everything else comes down to Bears fans trying to persuade Packers fans that their team sucks and they should switch allegiance, via 30 second TV ads and phone calls from out-of-state college students reading a script.

          2 replies 11 retweets 55 likes
          Show this thread
        3. Pinboard‏ @Pinboard Jun 13

          The overarching lesson of the Trump era for me was that in order to heal, America needs an exceptionally quick and lightweight way to keep track of all the various political candidates, with tags and notes, and that such a service should cost only pennies a day. Mission accepted.

          0 replies 3 retweets 55 likes
          Show this thread
        4. End of conversation
        1. New conversation
        2. quaternary operator‏ @myrrlyn Jun 13
          Replying to @Pinboard

          honestly not the worst idea as long as there's rough consensus on picking specific districts

          2 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
        3. Pinboard‏ @Pinboard Jun 13
          Replying to @myrrlyn

          It's kind of happening as a natural experiment with Montana.

          0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
        4. End of conversation
        1. New conversation
        2. christopher‏ @chrisbrandow Jun 13
          Replying to @Pinboard

          It would be interesting as an intellectual exercise to calculate what is the best 2022 scenario that could be constructed for 10k such people.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Sara Manns‏ @what_sara_said Jun 13
          Replying to @chrisbrandow @Pinboard

          West: Montana & Utah East: WV You could turn a handful of statehouse seats & prevent GOP supermajorities, maybe. The challenge is that rural areas where a vote does the most have terrible broadband. On purpose.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. End of conversation
        1. New conversation
        2. Sara Manns‏ @what_sara_said Jun 13
          Replying to @Pinboard

          hey, I did this! Would you like to read my 750 word essay on why it's not going to work? Haven't written it yet, so I'll summarize: Statehouse districts drawn to reinforce CD boundaries, letting GOP officials choose their voters all the way down, are baked in. Learn to garden.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. martin‏ @crossyourmartin Jun 13
          Replying to @what_sara_said @Pinboard

          You don't think the new rich people would want to live where the existing rich people live?

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. End of conversation
        1. New conversation
        2. Ari Ofsevit‏ @ofsevit Jun 13
          Replying to @Pinboard

          It would only take about 200,000 people to move from Cambridge, Manhattan, Seattle and Berkeley to Wyoming to net the Democrats two Senators. There's *plenty* of room.

          2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Pinboard‏ @Pinboard Jun 13
          Replying to @ofsevit

          You'd need 300,000 so that the locals would run out of bullets

          2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        4. Show replies

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