thing that has happened a reasonable amount: lab accidents thing that has not happened before: lab accidents resulting in the release of a previously unknown virus thing that has happened a lot before: zoonotic transfer producing previously unknown viruses
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We know containment breaches are routine (96 reported to the CDC in 2010). Think of it another way: the virus does not check to see whether it is novel before deciding whether to escapehttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4611044/ …
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This is the single most important number in the entire conversation, and yet the Discourse is "that's a crazy conspiracy," "why does it matter," and "nuke China"
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novel viruses are rare but there have been a lot! novel viruses that produce pandemics is a tiny category. on the second, sure, it's possible but ... why imagine an extra step that we have no evidence for, instead of just good old, has happened a bunch zoonotic transfer
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*Pandemics* are a tiny category so you can't reason back the way you did. On the second point, there's a virus lab that studies these viruses in the NYC-sized city where the pandemic started. This is not the remote wilds of Yunnan where weird animals abound. That's suggestive.
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Dude, near-pandemics from novel coronaviruses alone have been relatively common. SARS and MERS happened within the last two decades.
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Yeah, and those near pandemics are why they build the big coronavirus lab to study those viruses in the city where the full pandemic then originated
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what's the point of an unfalsifiable hypothesis?
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Wait. Don't tell me you're actually taking this fringe conspiracy theory with any amount of respect and seriousness.
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