More support for my "this is the last week of American covid" thesispic.twitter.com/HCtfk6SLdm
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Some people lived normal-ish lives during covid out of choice, others out of necessity, but either way it's only a small elite of working-age Americans who were both able to and chose to follow every precaution. Another fault line for us to fracture across
Having a moralizing, overeducated elite demanding six more months of economic hardship and child care nightmares for small businesses and the working poor is my great political fear for 2021.
To be clear, my anxiety is for what happens after a couple of months of reopening, particularly going into the new school year. I don't think there's a big push right now for things to stay closed, but variants and a rebound in cases could change that dynamic by September
The number of 200-person weddings (where half the guests got COVID) in my extended family and friends circles was, if anything, slightly *higher* than in 2019.
With that said, the finesse is that about a quarter of the family went down hard, a quarter of the family got into QAnon, and half went down lightly and stopped doing things like the family reunion or most indoor dining or attending those 200-person weddings.
This is true but it's also why your "last week of Covid" thesis is wrong. Neither of those groups is going to change their behavior much after this weekend.
I think there will be massive vacation travel that does lead to a qualitative shift. Let's see what happens!
Unless you’re in Seattle, in which case people don’t plan to re-emerge until sometime around 2024 at the earliest, just to be safe.
The vast majority of businesses / schools / nextdoor and Facebook posts / neighborhood conversations around here are centered around a theme of “this isn’t over yet” and “now is the time to double down on what worked”. And I’m not even kidding.
I had a shock visiting Poland in September after half of 2020 spent in California. It was… normal? With vacations, restaurants, bars, meeting friends 3x a week, club parties. When I was telling friends about how paranoid most of my Cali colleagues are, they thought I was joking
Covid didn't really hit Poland until October, while the USA was heading towards 200k deaths. Check your favorite charts to confirm.
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