There's an underrated scenario where China provokes a crisis with Taiwan, things get spicy, and the world just doesn't have microchips for a few years. I don't get why this isn't more central to our Taiwan policy. https://twitter.com/niubi/status/1390315544155467780 …
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Replying to @jwrush
You don't need a full-blown war to provoke this particular crisis
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Replying to @Pinboard
If China were to disrupt global trade with Taiwan, production moves (albeit over years and very painfully, in the way you allude). But then, even if Beijing win, a hypothetical Chinese Taipei is way less valuable to them AND everyone hates China. Possible, sure. Likely?
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Replying to @jwrush
A Chinese Taipei basically means China controls maritime access to Japan and Korea
9:05 AM - 6 May 2021
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