Welcome to ET where every Democratic incumbent is strong and every Republican challenger is terrible
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CCM? Incredibly strong and popular incumbent! On what basis am I calling her incredibly strong and popular? Because I want her to win
6 replies 0 retweets 23 likesShow this thread -
Replying to @SpecialPuppy1
I mean, you hero David Shor gave the probability of a de trifecta in 2020 <10% and here we are.
2 replies 0 retweets 1 like -
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Replying to @SpecialPuppy1
just search his twitter account, something you do well, people were making fun of him about it
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Replying to @mijaresluis419
Special Puppy 🧦 Retweeted (((David Shor)))
This tweet? Did you not see "after this potential one"https://twitter.com/davidshor/status/1315126675357741056?s=20 …
Special Puppy 🧦 added,
1 reply 0 retweets 4 likes -
Replying to @SpecialPuppy1 @mijaresluis419
Yeah, I gave us a 22% chance of a trifecta in 2019 (which I think was about right), and then a ~55% chance right before the election
2 replies 1 retweet 10 likes
This is almost in Larry Summers territory (33% chance of anything) and I commend the wise move into unfalsifiability
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