People who can't foresee that anyone under the age of 50 with a pulse is going to go out and party on the first warm day of spring are still deluding themselves about human nature over a year into this pandemic. Too many are vaccinated and have been cooped up for too long to care
-
Show this thread
-
People couldn't be scared or shamed away from traveling to see family over the holidays, when the weather was bad, there was no vaccine and infection rates were sky high. We're just a few weeks out now from people behaving as if the pandemic is over. Scolding is not a solution
4 replies 8 retweets 71 likesShow this thread -
Pinboard Retweeted Pinboard
The idea that people would continue psychologically and economically crippling distancing measures in the absence of high infection rates was ridiculous on its face last spring, I really can't believe it's still being seriously discussed a year later.https://twitter.com/Pinboard/status/1245553724354772994 …
Pinboard added,
3 replies 8 retweets 59 likesShow this thread -
This Tweet is unavailable.
-
Replying to @Birdyword
My impression was that the response in NYC and other big cities was very different than out in Real America™ where everyone freaked out for a bit and then just mostly ignored it once it was obvious that Lombardy and NYC were not the norm
1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes -
Replying to @Pinboard @Birdyword
But they *were* the norm on a per 100k people basis? (Some places in Real America had sky high case and death rates per capita.)
3 replies 0 retweets 1 like -
Replying to @timpark @Birdyword
Part of the problem of discussing this is that everyone had a view out of a different porthole. I was in Utah, Wyoming, Montana and later Iowa, and in many places it would be difficult to notice anything was different. Summer vacation stuff was packed, with minimal precautions
0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes -
This Tweet is unavailable.
-
Replying to @Birdyword @timpark
What was missing in the US at least was any sense of a game plan—we'll lock down for this long, then do X, Y and Z. And regrettably, much of the US national press are nervous nellies who live in big cities and accepted an unsustainable, permanent lockdown approach as holy writ
1 reply 0 retweets 1 like -
In the Hammer & Dance framework what we actually pursued was a mitigation vs suppression strategy. The goal was always just to keep the system just able to handle cases. Still is.
1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
There was nothing wrong with the goal, the problem was always the "assume a spherical cow of radius R" otherworldliness of the implementation. Especially when that extended to lying to people for their own good
-
-
I think I agree with your point? Some people will be sucked into precautionary theater but the rest will not stay put if they perceive risk to be low. But that was the essence of hammer & dance. Problem was governments were not poised to mitigate that with timely policy response
0 replies 0 retweets 0 likesThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
-
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.