Just on a structural level we need polling to be significantly off this year (in whatever direction you prefer) or the spreadsheet gang is going to become unendurable in 2022/2024. The model of politics as weather prediction is self-fulfilling and deeply disempowering
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Politics is ultimately a creative endeavor, where you search for a story and framing that capture's people imagination and try to create new circumstances in which to win. The analytics project is fundamentally at odds with this and gives us sterile, airless, and timid candidates
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