A thread expressing some concerns I have, too. I think a lot of the articles about the genius of Biden's low-key approach to campaigning are being too clever by half, and the vital lessons of Brexit and 2016 (things can move quickly in the last week) have not been absorbed https://twitter.com/RiderOfKarma/status/1321174926288703488 …
Yeah, I take his point, and his expertise. But it's also a pandemic year like no other, and the economic situation is also unprecedented. Polls ultimately rely on a few hundred people answering their phone, plus a huge superstructure of weighting and extrapolation from that
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That’s the biggest argument against. Prediction relies on historic data which isn’t that helpful in ahistoric times. Error goes both ways, but why leave it to error? Running up the score better than running out the clock. I don’t know how I’ll sleep for the next week.
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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