I'm not happy about it, I just want people to have some psychological armor against it. It is much, much harder to be elected than re-elected. And we live in a country where a structural minority wields power and are not just going to vote to give it up forever
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Ever since Taiwan started electing their presidents democratically, the result of the Taiwan election has predicted the result of the following US presidential election. This year it predicts a Trump win and I hope in ten days that correlation is forever a thing of the past
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Interesting. Are there any posts on this? Would love to see studies!
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We should start making bets that Trump retains power and retire to NZ on the proceeds.
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I hate New Zealand so much, though
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Do you actually think it's "compelling evidence"? Why is that much more likely to see in the situation where Biden will lose? I think you're right to compare it to something that's pure pareidolia.
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