It's wild right? Nate Cohn has a good writeup of how pollsters with the same data gave different polling outcomes. Given the wild response bias and sophisticated tea leaf reading, it's impressive that they're able to pick out any signal at all.
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One way to think about this: if you just take last election's result and linearly interpolate with whatever fudged numbers you get this time, you'll probably be within 5%...
End of conversation
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