What I worry is happening is otherwise smart people are persuading themselves that Trump couldn't possibly win on the merits, so we have to unmask his secret plan. We need to be more realistic about how tough this fight is and less eager to blame our failures on skullduggery
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Not on a fairly easy path imo.... but he's got a significant non-zero percent chance of winning. Also, I think Markos is correct to some degree, in that he's trying to win the election and he's also trying for dear life to figure out how to rig the election or discount results
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I can't think of a bigger "INCREASE DRAMA" button then "Trump is on an easy path to reelection."
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It’s the placid status quo!
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I'm glad it's more fashionable to say that Trump has a chance in Nov 2020 as it was in 2016, since 538 is making roughly the same projection as 2016: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/ … That said, we shouldn't be THAT pessimistic in 2020.
@markos might be right this time.Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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This feels alien to what polling tells us
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If you find comfort in the polls I'd be a monster to try to persuade you otherwise
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