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The light inside is broken, but I still work. The Cadillac of online bookmarking sites. Alleged nocoiner. http://pinboard.in  maciej@ceglowski.com +1 415 610 0231

Lonely street of broken dreams
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    Pinboard‏ @Pinboard 23 Sep 2020

    Pinboard Retweeted Markos Moulitsas

    Since I see Trump as on a fairly easy path to reelection, thinking like this is Martian to me. Let's not 3D chess ourselves past the fact that Trump is fairly popular, has a wide and tenacious base of support, and thrives in situations where people smash the INCREASE DRAMA buttonhttps://twitter.com/markos/status/1308810036349550592 …

    Pinboard added,

    Markos MoulitsasVerified account @markos
    Trump isn’t running for re-election. Not anymore. He’s trying to hold on to power. It’s an important distinction that explains pretty much all of his behavior and actions.
    12:21 PM - 23 Sep 2020
    • 19 Retweets
    • 101 Likes
    • a1n3k0 Gabriel Koch Ted McCarthy Kevin Chen deff janiels Taketomo Isazawa FJ!! The Circular Ruins Dan "Wear a mask!" Geroos
    5 replies 19 retweets 101 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Pinboard‏ @Pinboard 23 Sep 2020

        What I worry is happening is otherwise smart people are persuading themselves that Trump couldn't possibly win on the merits, so we have to unmask his secret plan. We need to be more realistic about how tough this fight is and less eager to blame our failures on skullduggery

        7 replies 19 retweets 88 likes
        Show this thread
      3. Pinboard‏ @Pinboard 23 Sep 2020

        They can't steal an election we don't winpic.twitter.com/59zP3qr1C7

        1 reply 8 retweets 63 likes
        Show this thread
      4. End of conversation
      1. Ξric Burnside  🦇 🔊‏ @E_Burnside 23 Sep 2020
        Replying to @Pinboard

        Not on a fairly easy path imo.... but he's got a significant non-zero percent chance of winning. Also, I think Markos is correct to some degree, in that he's trying to win the election and he's also trying for dear life to figure out how to rig the election or discount results

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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      1. New conversation
      2. andrew‏ @sugarbiskits 23 Sep 2020
        Replying to @Pinboard

        I can't think of a bigger "INCREASE DRAMA" button then "Trump is on an easy path to reelection."

        1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
      3. Pinboard‏ @Pinboard 23 Sep 2020
        Replying to @sugarbiskits

        It’s the placid status quo!

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      4. End of conversation
      1. robla‏ @robla 23 Sep 2020
        Replying to @Pinboard

        I'm glad it's more fashionable to say that Trump has a chance in Nov 2020 as it was in 2016, since 538 is making roughly the same projection as 2016: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/ … That said, we shouldn't be THAT pessimistic in 2020. @markos might be right this time.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. New conversation
      2. Ben Jarvis‏ @ronmexicoisreal 23 Sep 2020
        Replying to @Pinboard

        This feels alien to what polling tells us

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. Pinboard‏ @Pinboard 23 Sep 2020
        Replying to @ronmexicoisreal

        If you find comfort in the polls I'd be a monster to try to persuade you otherwise

        1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
      4. Show replies

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