I’m baffled by the amount of airplane risk freak out I’m seeing about this single study, which you will see below, is far far from conclusive plus has an unmasked, actively coughing person as suspect. Always read the full paper and the appendix, and think about the denominator.https://twitter.com/j_g_allen/status/1307283792776826881 …
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The paper rests on shaky assumptions and it's pushing the envelope to claim potential transmission on a flight. Okay. Let's suspend disbelief say it happened. Many millions fly every *week*. One pre-masking March incident? Reassuring in context. Headline: wow, surprisingly safe.
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Obviously, there is no place that's absolutely, completely safe from COVID if there are people around, but in reality, the lack of outbreaks in airplanes is quite striking, and quite likely linked to the fact that they aggressively and rapidly filter the air with HEPA filters.
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zeynep tufekci Retweeted Joseph Allen
Also, this is a pity. If we had genomic sequencing, we'd have a clear-cut answer. Given the importance of these questions, there really needs to be more resources for such case studies.https://twitter.com/j_g_allen/status/1307283825043660800 …
zeynep tufekci added,
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Everyone should—obviously—consider their own personal risk factors and if they should travel as risk is never zero. Taking a cab to the airport is always risky! However instead of alarm based on single studies, we need careful consideration of nine months of data & observations.
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Replying to @zeynep
Risk in travel is always hard. I KNOW the risk of the cab ride from Dulles to downtown DC is greater than a false shoot down of a plane landing at National, yet I still refuse to take a flight landing at National because well, I don’t like missiles pointed at the plane I’m in
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That risk is offset by the great view
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