There's also a kind of flattening belief that democracy will end November 4 if the guy is re-elected. We've had this kind of thinking from the beginning, and it is paralyzing and unhelpful. The authoritarian slide is a long dance with many steps, and there's plenty of fight left
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4 out of the last 5 incumbents were reelected.. and Republicans have a structural advantage like
@Pinboard mentioned (they've only won the popular vote once since 1992)... I wouldn't discount it too much. - Show replies
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Wait are you doing that thing where political fund raisers scare a bunch if rich people into donating?
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Because its working.
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Do you actually believe it's likely- you would put money on it happening given even odds?
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I would put money on it at 2:1 odds (or whatever implies a 1/3 chance of it happening)
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Because the country is fairly evenly split and the Electoral College gives a significant leg up to the Republican Party
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Nothing wins elections like those cold calls from a stranger
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