This is the chart that still baffles me. Adding it to the pile of other things that baffle me about coronavirus.https://twitter.com/joshtpm/status/1287521833449906178 …
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If your prior is that medical interventions in July and mask-wearing in AZ in June were identical to those in NYC in the first week of March, then maybe you're just looking for excuses to be surprised.
Physicians believe care is much better. It is hard to prove that but their is circumstantial evidence. We see with many novel diseases.
there is a ton of evidence that the spread is slower. look at any estimate of r.
What I’m hearing from my brother is that the intervention protocols are better. Not putting people on vents super quickly, etc.
Dexamethasone and remdesivir almost certainly have an effect. Reduced cases in nursing homes - I had tried to get that data from the New York times nursing home data set, but they don't have dates. But the frequencies have gone down substantially in my county.
I don't think either of those is a full explanation of the difference. But TX is at (estimated) 13% infected vs NY 20%, and daily TX deaths will probably peak in 10 days. That's _still_ not a complete explanation but it covers some of the gap.
There's very good evidence the interventions have gotten better. There's a couple drugs that just kinda work and no one's quite sure whyhttps://www.theverge.com/2020/7/8/21317128/improved-covid-treatment-hospitals-remdesivir-dexamethasone …
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