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Pinboard

@Pinboard

The light inside is broken, but I still work. The Cadillac of online bookmarking sites. Alleged nocoiner. http://pinboard.in  maciej@ceglowski.com +1 415 610 0231

Lonely street of broken dreams
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    1. Pinboard‏ @Pinboard 21 Jul 2020

      I'm seeing way too much overconfidence among people I thought were sensible about Trump's inevitable defeat. The president is as popular today as he was at the end of the 2019 shutdown, and if there's one lesson we should have learned by now, it's that the guy bounces back.

      5 replies 26 retweets 163 likes
      Show this thread
      Pinboard‏ @Pinboard 21 Jul 2020

      What happens on November 3 will largely be determined by unforeseeable circumstances in October. That doesn't mean we can't plan and fight aggressively to win, but maybe the press can hold off repeating every single one of the mistakes it made in 2016, just to keep things fresh

      7:03 AM - 21 Jul 2020
      • 13 Retweets
      • 81 Likes
      • Andy Tani B. Burwell Jess db stewart Gabriel Koch 901ff7 ʀᴏɴ ʀᴀᴅᴜ Laurel Hechanova Reverend Azure Jane Lunatic
      2 replies 13 retweets 81 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Pinboard‏ @Pinboard 21 Jul 2020

          In particular, no one should assume that the coronavirus shares their politics (it's an ideologically complex pathogen!) or that the current mood of gloom and defeat won't be replaced by another cycle of jubilation and denial at an electorally inconvenient moment

          1 reply 2 retweets 43 likes
          Show this thread
        3. Pinboard‏ @Pinboard 21 Jul 2020

          If you don't personally know anyone who voted for Trump, or can't imagine how anyone could vote for Trump, then consider that you're not in a great position to anticipate what's going to happen in November. Your gut feeling is *always* going to be that Trump will lose

          2 replies 12 retweets 58 likes
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        4. Pinboard‏ @Pinboard 21 Jul 2020

          There is way too much focus on possible election fraud and foreign influence, and too little on the strong possibility that Trump will just win re-election outright. We're even back to the "will he accept the results of the election" hand-wringing. He sure did last time around!

          1 reply 8 retweets 49 likes
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        5. Pinboard‏ @Pinboard 21 Jul 2020

          At this moment in 2016, smart people were all atwitter about how Clinton had a real shot at winning Georgia. And this is months before the Access Hollywood tapes doomed Trump's chances. So let's not jinx ourselves.pic.twitter.com/Z1HnWjZWcz

          1 reply 4 retweets 36 likes
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        6. Pinboard‏ @Pinboard 21 Jul 2020

          Finally, the guy we chose as our champion in this pandemic year is a highly handsy 77 year old, and just keeping him hermetically sealed away from people through November is going to be its own challenge.

          1 reply 1 retweet 35 likes
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        7. Pinboard‏ @Pinboard 21 Jul 2020

          Other than that, though, we're doing great in the polls and I DEFY THE GODS THEMSELVES to screw this up

          1 reply 4 retweets 21 likes
          Show this thread
        8. End of conversation
        1. Random of Eddie‏ @random_eddie 21 Jul 2020
          Replying to @Pinboard

          >maybe the press can hold off repeating every single one of the mistakes it made in 2016 I love the implication here, undoubtedly correct, that the goal of the press was to defeat Trump but they screwed it up

          0 replies 2 retweets 6 likes
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