We know a lot about this disease and how it spreads that we didn't know in February, but people are still assuming you can just fit an exponential curve to 50 cases and scare people into locking down for six months. There is a failure to learn from evidence that troubles me.
-
-
Show this thread
-
Wear a mask and don't go on the retired meatpackers' karaoke cruise and you will be fine.
Show this thread -
Specifically, we know that this illness is spread mostly through indoor superspreading events, that it's containable in modern first-world economies with modest effort (Japan), that it is hard to get an outbreak even in very favorable conditions (Bangladesh!), and that masks work
Show this thread -
Making dire predictions was absolutely the right thing to do in February, but failing to notice how many of them were wrong, and inquire into why, is a great intellectual failure in June. If you were a Cassandra about beach crowding, spend some time updating your beliefs now
Show this thread
End of conversation
New conversation -
-
-
This Tweet is unavailable.
-
I believe it was rescheduled. But I also bet it will be fine.
- Show replies
-
-
-
There are some things in this dashboard that appear to also just be factually incorrect; it states that the hospital bed availability in Washington state is 15% ("Extremely low!") when the WA DoH states it is actually 35%, above the state's target of 20%.
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
-
-
-
You're misreading the table. It's a watchlist of states with cases increasing at a high rate, but OK and KY are marked green because their per capita new case numbers are still low.
-
But per capita numbers are only really relevant when the numbers are somewhat large, yeah? As long as every spreading event is hitting all new people, population size seems irrelevant - only matters for rate that networks have the same people included multiple times
- Show replies
New conversation -
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.
June 12th, update
—The worry-watchlist has increased to 16! (10 yesterday)
—Alarming Positive tests % in Arizona, So Carolina, Utah, WA
—All but 1 have low ICU availability
Data via