There are many thousands of casualties. Noone knows for sure of the exact number, as they are misreported in every possible way as a policy. The infection is rampant, probably in hundreds of thousands at this point.
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Replying to @Pinboard
Of course I can't. I haven't done field work, just know how it is between my relatives and friends back there. But can you point for any evidence that Belarus is doing better than the West by any metric though, other than Lukashenko's own figures?
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Replying to @varjag
The absence of mass hospitalizations and deaths that it would not be possible to hide in an age of social media, plus the pattern being the same across all of Eastern Europe for some poorly understood reason. I get the skepticism but burden of proof is on showing mass casualties
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Replying to @Pinboard
There are mass hospitalisations though. And it's not something unknown there. The rest of Eastern Europe shut down *hard* in advance, there is no comparison.
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My mom's in cancer ward now near Minsk on reconstructive surgery. Both her boxmates recovered from COVID, so their families. Borisov infection ward is full and other hospitals were converted too to cope with COVID rates.
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Replying to @varjag
I understand your argument (and Poland, which is the country I know, was also super fishy about its data). If you can point me to stuff that's beyond anecdotal, now or later, I will be grateful. And my most sincere wishes for your mother's health.
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Replying to @Pinboard
Belarus has flatlined on 950 officially recorded cases per day since April 27th while doing zero mitigation policy. It's not declining, not rising and not deviating by more than +/- 30 cases. Truly a miracle
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Replying to @varjag
Yeah, I witnessed a similar "miracle" in Japan. But the reality also turned out to be surprising.
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Replying to @Pinboard
I'm honestly flattered by comparison with Japan here but IMO it's too hopeful. Belarus has officially 1/15th fatality rate of Sweden, nearest Western nation with remotely similar response profile. Do you really think hospital care is 15 times better than in .se?
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No, I don't. I do think the situation is not as bad as happened in Lombardy or Spain, which is astonishing given the much worse health system, and the complete failure of the government to address the pandemic. I'm not defending the official numbers, or claiming no one is sick
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