Data continues to accumulate for the hypothesis that superspreading events drives the pandemic. As few as 1% (!) of infected people caused 80% of secondary infections in Israel. If this holds up, it will have interesting political consequences in America https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.05.21.20104521v1.full.pdf …
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The virus's politics are weird. It's clearly very pro-environment, anti-meat, and has shown a commendable affinity for rich countries over the poor, but it also seems to want to sow maximal discord at a time when we can't handle much more of that
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An important thing to note about the superspreading hypothesis is that it refers to *events*. It's unclear whether that means individual people, special circumstances or locations, behaviors, or a combination of them all. Still, don't go on the retired meatpackers' karaoke cruise
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So I guess Japan's success has been having a lot less dipshits than everywhere else?
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It's not clear at all what happened in Japan. This was their model of the disease from the beginning, though.
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Your logic systemically misses this: superspreaders aren't solely a cause, they are an effect. A socially-distancing society does not create many superspreaders. Places that emerge too soon will create more superspreaders.
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What the superspreader findings really suggest is that the R0 has a much higher variance than most suspect. The virus spreads more in bursts and flare-ups than as a steady burn. But the slow burn leads to the explosions.
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