Data continues to accumulate for the hypothesis that superspreading events drives the pandemic. As few as 1% (!) of infected people caused 80% of secondary infections in Israel. If this holds up, it will have interesting political consequences in America https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.05.21.20104521v1.full.pdf …
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But if a very small number of people drive infections, you can end up with large areas that don't socially distance and do just fine, at least for a while. This gives a pessimal situation where the pandemic is real and deadly, but the deniers are at least partially vindicated
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The virus's politics are weird. It's clearly very pro-environment, anti-meat, and has shown a commendable affinity for rich countries over the poor, but it also seems to want to sow maximal discord at a time when we can't handle much more of that
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An important thing to note about the superspreading hypothesis is that it refers to *events*. It's unclear whether that means individual people, special circumstances or locations, behaviors, or a combination of them all. Still, don't go on the retired meatpackers' karaoke cruise
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Friend, I don’t want to lose my mother or father any earlier due to this pandemic. I was young awhile back, and I thought I was indestructible too. If for no other reason, your parents & grandparents live are in play here.
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Well, as a data point, time has run out for Alabama. The state is running short on ICU beds -- and while that's happening in cities (because that's where hospitals are) lots of patients are from rural areas. And yet *still* reopening everything. https://www.cnn.com/2020/05/21/us/montgomery-alabama-icu-bed-shortage/index.html …
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