Models are useful tools, but the preprint-to-headline pipeline strips them of all context. The headlines rarely make a distinction between empirical data and modeled projections, even as it's clear that our models have been quite inadequate to explain the spread of disease
-
-
Show this thread
-
Note that this criticism is not about lambasting models because they predict one outcome, and people then changed their behavior in response. It's about a failure to communicate the difference between knowledge and guesswork, while short-circuiting peer review
Show this thread -
This page one article doesn't even get basic terminology right, talking about "R nought" (the basic reproduction number) compared to the time-varying reproduction number that is actually treated in the model.pic.twitter.com/xFK42bjdXE
Show this thread
End of conversation
New conversation -
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.