In some cases, distancing *is* driven by what the government says. In Japan, there were far more people who wanted to work from home than were allowed to, and kids had to go to school. But people also have great latitude to act on their own based on personal perceptions of risk.
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That's why I think some of the analysis of who locked down when is misguided. There were many official actions that occurred at a set point in time, but in many cases they ratified what people were already doing. Or conversely, they set unreasonable demands people chose to ignore
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The lockdowns and mask wearing are clearly effective, they obviously help curb the pandemic, but when we talk about them we have to be careful to analyze what people *did*, and not just what date a policy change took effect. Thank goodness we have a surveillance society!
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This also shows to what extent compliance depends on scrupulous honesty. You can tell people "don't take your kids to the park because we don't yet know the risk". But telling them "thousands will die if you take your kids to the park" only works once if it turns out to be wrong.
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This is a reason why I'm sanguine about re-opening efforts in the US. If people see that we're as quick to lift restrictions as we were to impose them, there is a better chance we can maintain broad compliance for the duration of the crisis. A ratchet effect breeds resistance
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This is where two containment philosophies of eradication vs. control diverge, and at some point it would help to know what the official American plan is. Stamping out the disease locally means strict measures. Controlling it means a light touch, just enough to prevent outbreaks.
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I'll do my civic part with either approach, but the lack of coherent leadership around this continues to astonish. The plan for defeating coronavirus changes daily and varies both by state and what TV channel you watch.
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If Trump had run the Apollo program, we would be shifting between direct ascent, lunar orbit rendezvous, and earth rendezvous mission profiles every week, while Jared Kushner tried to build a rocket in his backyard and the President spent mornings tweeting that the earth is flat.
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As a resident, I can tell that you that generally UK people don't think.
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