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Pinboard

@Pinboard

The light inside is broken, but I still work. The Cadillac of online bookmarking sites. Alleged nocoiner. http://pinboard.in  maciej@ceglowski.com +1 415 610 0231

Lonely street of broken dreams
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    1. Pinboard‏ @Pinboard 20 May 2020

      Hoping that future journalism schools will offer topics like "paying more attention when a global pandemic mostly skips the two most populous continents"

      6 replies 4 retweets 29 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Matthew Green‏Verified account @matthew_d_green 20 May 2020
      Replying to @Pinboard

      This username is slowly turning into a Coronavirus truther account.

      1 reply 0 retweets 4 likes
    3. Pinboard‏ @Pinboard 20 May 2020
      Replying to @matthew_d_green

      Doesn't being a truther require promoting an alternative theory?

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    4. Matthew Green‏Verified account @matthew_d_green 20 May 2020
      Replying to @Pinboard

      The pointless shouting at journalists aspect is consistent.

      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
    5. Pinboard‏ @Pinboard 20 May 2020
      Replying to @matthew_d_green

      Shouting is ALL CAPS. I get that you're annoyed, so why not just unfollow me?

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    6. Matthew Green‏Verified account @matthew_d_green 20 May 2020
      Replying to @Pinboard

      Cause I like you and you typically say good things. But at this point we get that there’s a lot we don’t understand about COVID and frankly it’s just exhausting. A lot of the US has basically decided to open up so I guess pretty soon we’ll know plenty more.

      2 replies 0 retweets 7 likes
    7. Pinboard‏ @Pinboard 20 May 2020
      Replying to @matthew_d_green

      My frustration is really rooted in optimism. If the impact of this illness is so uneven, whatever the causative factor is may help everywhere. That's what bugs me, not the idea that people may be wrong on the internet. If we were more curious, we might figure it out faster.

      1 reply 1 retweet 7 likes
    8. Matthew Green‏Verified account @matthew_d_green 20 May 2020
      Replying to @Pinboard

      If you think there’s some hidden factor other than lockdowns that will (and here I’m being selfish) have some relevance to protecting our society, go hook up with some epidemiologists or head to Africa. I don’t see how journalists are going to crack this one.

      2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
    9. Matthew Green‏Verified account @matthew_d_green 20 May 2020
      Replying to @matthew_d_green @Pinboard

      I do agree that COVID is weird. I hope that yams or chrysanthemum pollen or TB vaccine or exposure to childhood chicken pox is the cure, but I don’t think journalists are going to crack the case.

      1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
    10. Matthew Green‏Verified account @matthew_d_green 20 May 2020
      Replying to @matthew_d_green @Pinboard

      When I look closer to home, at US states, the only variables I see are slightly slower spread in more rural states — and lockdowns, which create obvious discontinuities in the data. So whatever the magic vaccine is, I don’t think we have it here.pic.twitter.com/7cpkMuocWI

      4 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      Pinboard‏ @Pinboard 20 May 2020
      Replying to @matthew_d_green

      This is the chart that shows the NYC area as an outlier from everywhere else in the country

      5:33 AM - 20 May 2020
      2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Matthew Green‏Verified account @matthew_d_green 20 May 2020
          Replying to @Pinboard

          Yes, but it’s not that much of an outlier. When you plot it from the date of 20 cases you see that Florida was on a rapid increase too, just at a slightly slower doubling time. But their lockdown hits much earlier in the spread — and is hugely effective.

          2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        3. Matthew Green‏Verified account @matthew_d_green 20 May 2020
          Replying to @matthew_d_green @Pinboard

          The problem here is that we don’t have the counterfactual. A large, well-populated US state that started the exponential spread but didn’t do a lockdown at some point. I assume over the next few months we’ll get to find out what that looks like.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. Show replies
        1. Starving Engineer‏ @edw_tweet 20 May 2020
          Replying to @Pinboard @matthew_d_green

          In Switzerland, we have the same "outliers" despite a population of only 8.5 million, the size of Vermont and New Hampshire combined, and no reasonable difference in policy, climate nor population. You know why there are outliers? Exponential growth. Seehttps://www.corona-data.ch/ 

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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