What do you make of this : https://twitter.com/kakape/status/1262863846387134470 … which if I read it correctly seems to be saying that spread could be driven largely by fewer but bigger spreading events, which would presumably add more randomness to how things progress in different places
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This has always been the Japanese theory of how the disease is spread—that there are a very few people who are highly infectious, and that finding and isolating them controls the epidemic.
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Here is an extensive report published today https://www.proekt.media/report/koronavirus-belarus/ … tldr: - daily new cases are kept below 1000 since beginning of May, which is still the worst in Eastern Europe - covid deaths are being attributed to other diseases and there is no all-cause mortality data
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Thank you! Worst in Eastern Europe but way better than Western Europe, which is what I find so interesting. The explanation that "people are actually dying in droves but it's being hidden" is used to explain anomalies in pretty much every country. That said, it's Belarus...
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