Of course we can't. Now the same scolding and dire warnings are being repeated because people went to the beach in Malibu.https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2020-05-18/la-me-beaches-park-closed-coronavirus …
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A very similar situation obtains in Florida. There was a moral panic around beaches staying open in March, and then reopening, that turned out not to be followed by any spike in illness. But this good news doesn't get covered, part of an inability to report on negative evidence.
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There's nothing wrong with taking aggressive precautions on limited data, as long as we pay attention to the things that *don't* happen and adjust our behavior based on that, too. Precautions that only work in one direction will turn the world into one big TSA checkpoint.
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You don't need double-blind reproducible peer-reviewed studies in order to take the sensible decision to close beaches and outdoor public spaces in the face of an unknown pandemic. Neither should you need them to take the sensible decision that those precautions went too far.
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Lifting unnecessary restrictions quickly will better preserve our ability to impose new restrictions as we need them. The problem isn't the initial overreaction (better safe than sorry!) but a failure to roll it back, and a puritanical insistence that restrictions are good for us
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This is exactly the point. If we keep excessively strict rules in place after it's clear they're overkill, people will start to ignore *all* the rules, including the lifesaving ones. Don't give the crazy people room to sound reasonable; be reasonable firsthttps://twitter.com/acnetj/status/1262672906808520710 …
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One possible lesson of Japan is that people can get away with a hell of a lot if they just wear masks. (Another possible lesson is that something is different in Japan that we don't recognize). The one way to find out is to roll back fairly aggressively, and stop if things worsen
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You'd need to connect the chart and the data that it represents to your claim. Until then, we have no idea what we're looking at.
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It's a chart of all hospitalizations in California. https://www.latimes.com/projects/california-coronavirus-cases-tracking-outbreak/ …
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I agree outdoors is healthy & beaches & parks should be open. I suggest problem includes that people use parks to hook up.
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