Anyway I certainly don't have an explanation. But when I see this as the opening to an article, admittedly a very detailed and diligent-seeming one I haven't read all of, I'm like "hm but what about".pic.twitter.com/hawi13PPAI
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Anyway I certainly don't have an explanation. But when I see this as the opening to an article, admittedly a very detailed and diligent-seeming one I haven't read all of, I'm like "hm but what about".pic.twitter.com/hawi13PPAI
Xenocrypt Retweeted Noah Stephens-Davidowitz
This may be but you need to like, show that, I think. In a non-circular way.https://twitter.com/NoahSD/status/1261731689560039424 …
Xenocrypt added,
Interestingly two people have replied saying that NY kept schools open longer than SF/CA, and I might have thought so too, but I'm not sure that's true? I think the announcements were at different times but it seems like they both actually closed 3/16? Is that right?pic.twitter.com/EYc7Er34WN
Xenocrypt Retweeted Matt O'Brien
See here for example. A little misleading if the school closures actually took effect on the same day!https://twitter.com/ObsoleteDogma/status/1247973123523297280 …
Xenocrypt added,
Note none of this is to say NY/NYC policy has been GOOD, especially compared to Seoul or Taipei or whatnot, I'm sure. There's just a piece or two missing here.
This seems to be a pretty common misconception?pic.twitter.com/uLfOOSInPb
And Japan didn’t do much other than stop mass gatherings, close restaurants at 8pm and wear face masks and they had very few deaths. Japan has a very old population, lots of Chinese tourists and weather in the comfort zone for the virus in Spring: totally odd.
Japan was starting to see significant community spread despite the mask wearing, and then it just fizzled out
I think that you can imagine a model where mask usage turns it into a disease that spreads more slowly that you stay ahead of. So you will have flare ups but it doesn't explode.
My problem right now is I can imagine every conceivable type of model
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