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The light inside is broken, but I still work. The Cadillac of online bookmarking sites. Alleged nocoiner. http://pinboard.in  maciej@ceglowski.com +1 415 610 0231

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    1. Xenocrypt‏ @xenocryptsite 16 May 2020

      Here's Manhattan vs. San Francisco, anyway. I mean I guess SF started a little before Manhattan?pic.twitter.com/UVx0iLlAaw

      2 replies 1 retweet 14 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Xenocrypt‏ @xenocryptsite 16 May 2020

      Anyway I certainly don't have an explanation. But when I see this as the opening to an article, admittedly a very detailed and diligent-seeming one I haven't read all of, I'm like "hm but what about".pic.twitter.com/hawi13PPAI

      3 replies 1 retweet 13 likes
      Show this thread
    3. Xenocrypt‏ @xenocryptsite 16 May 2020

      Xenocrypt Retweeted Noah Stephens-Davidowitz

      This may be but you need to like, show that, I think. In a non-circular way.https://twitter.com/NoahSD/status/1261731689560039424 …

      Xenocrypt added,

      Noah Stephens-Davidowitz @NoahSD
      Replying to @xenocryptsite
      Isn't the most likely explanation just that the mobility data doesn't properly capture the difference? The closures changed people's behavior in more ways than just literally keeping them home more.
      2 replies 0 retweets 10 likes
      Show this thread
    4. Xenocrypt‏ @xenocryptsite 16 May 2020

      Interestingly two people have replied saying that NY kept schools open longer than SF/CA, and I might have thought so too, but I'm not sure that's true? I think the announcements were at different times but it seems like they both actually closed 3/16? Is that right?pic.twitter.com/EYc7Er34WN

      2 replies 0 retweets 7 likes
      Show this thread
    5. Xenocrypt‏ @xenocryptsite 16 May 2020

      Xenocrypt Retweeted Matt O'Brien

      See here for example. A little misleading if the school closures actually took effect on the same day!https://twitter.com/ObsoleteDogma/status/1247973123523297280 …

      Xenocrypt added,

      Matt O'BrienVerified account @ObsoleteDogma
      SF Mayor London Breed closed their schools on March 12th, and issued a stay-at-home order on March 16th. NY Mayor Bill De Blasio didn’t do the same until March 15th, and March 22nd (Cuomo dragged his feet on the latter). This was despite NY having far more cases too. https://twitter.com/KendallTTaggart/status/1247869315136851968 …
      2 replies 0 retweets 9 likes
      Show this thread
    6. Xenocrypt‏ @xenocryptsite 16 May 2020

      Note none of this is to say NY/NYC policy has been GOOD, especially compared to Seoul or Taipei or whatnot, I'm sure. There's just a piece or two missing here.

      2 replies 0 retweets 10 likes
      Show this thread
    7. Xenocrypt‏ @xenocryptsite 16 May 2020

      This seems to be a pretty common misconception?pic.twitter.com/uLfOOSInPb

      6 replies 0 retweets 10 likes
      Show this thread
    8. Nobody‏ @nobody_indepth 16 May 2020
      Replying to @xenocryptsite

      I also have the same question in my mind when I read all these takes whether a policy made a huge difference. Don't know how reliable this take is but just for your reference what I remember when I briefly searched for the question: https://www.livescience.com/why-covid19-coronavirus-deaths-high-new-york.html …pic.twitter.com/5CVIsrEhte

      1 reply 1 retweet 1 like
    9. Xenocrypt‏ @xenocryptsite 16 May 2020
      Replying to @nobody_indepth

      But just...how? It's California? How could it only have a few introductions of a virus that started in China during a major holiday?

      4 replies 1 retweet 4 likes
    10. B‏ @wastetime 16 May 2020
      Replying to @xenocryptsite @nobody_indepth

      The fact that average transmission is around 2 but the vast majority infect 0 seems to have something to do with it

      1 reply 1 retweet 1 like
      Pinboard‏ @Pinboard 16 May 2020
      Replying to @wastetime @xenocryptsite @nobody_indepth

      This is the Japanese theory of coronavirus, that very few people actually spread it, and that controlling it requires finding and isolating them.

      5:43 PM - 16 May 2020
      • 3 Retweets
      • 1 Like
      • Nobody Cipher In Equality
      0 replies 3 retweets 1 like

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