Japan crushed COVID more effectively than any of these countries, mostly by ignoring bad WHO advice on masks (which Eichenwald continues to defend)https://twitter.com/kurteichenwald/status/1261508352481337345 …
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Pinboard Retweeted Kurt "Masks Save Lives" Eichenwald
Japan crushed COVID more effectively than any of these countries, mostly by ignoring bad WHO advice on masks (which Eichenwald continues to defend)https://twitter.com/kurteichenwald/status/1261508352481337345 …
Pinboard added,
The idea that the shape of a curve matters more than total body count has led some people very deep into nonsense
Talking about metrics for "crushing the curve" is begging the question
Ok but you're sort of talking about starting conditions which are random (or at least the reasons for differences are unknown) whereas bending the curve is a question of how you handle bad initial conditions and these aren't the same question.
If your metric for success is "bending the curve", then you will get the best results with uncontrolled spread followed by a complete lockdown, which leads to nonsense like Italy being praised over Sweden in the original tweet upthread
I mean I get what you're saying. Looking at curve shapes alone is kind of useless without more context but when you're comparing outbreaks of similar order of magnitude it definitely tells you something
My beef with it is that it ignores enormous differences in order of magnitude, which tell us something much more interesting about this disease than this contour. The NYT visualization, for example, lists Vietnam as "rising number of cases" despite zero deaths in the country.
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