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Pinboard

@Pinboard

The light inside is broken, but I still work. The Cadillac of online bookmarking sites. Alleged nocoiner. http://pinboard.in  maciej@ceglowski.com +1 415 610 0231

Lonely street of broken dreams
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    1. Pinboard‏ @Pinboard 15 May 2020

      Pinboard Retweeted Kurt "Masks Save Lives" Eichenwald

      Japan crushed COVID more effectively than any of these countries, mostly by ignoring bad WHO advice on masks (which Eichenwald continues to defend)https://twitter.com/kurteichenwald/status/1261508352481337345 …

      Pinboard added,

      Kurt "Masks Save Lives" EichenwaldVerified account @kurteichenwald
      Countries that aggressive followed @WHO strategy (testing/tracing, isolation, etc)crushed COVID. Includes Greece, New Zealand, South Korea. Ones doing badly -like Sweden UK & USA - ignored WHO. Lesson to GOP: consulting scientists about science is how to save lives & economies. pic.twitter.com/JsgFM8Rdok
      9 replies 22 retweets 109 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Pinboard‏ @Pinboard 15 May 2020

      The idea that the shape of a curve matters more than total body count has led some people very deep into nonsense

      2 replies 8 retweets 84 likes
      Show this thread
    3. This Tweet is unavailable.
    4. Pinboard‏ @Pinboard 15 May 2020
      Replying to @Comparativist

      Talking about metrics for "crushing the curve" is begging the question

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    5. lol you lost‏ @lol_you_lost 15 May 2020
      Replying to @Pinboard @Comparativist

      Ok but you're sort of talking about starting conditions which are random (or at least the reasons for differences are unknown) whereas bending the curve is a question of how you handle bad initial conditions and these aren't the same question.

      2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
    6. Pinboard‏ @Pinboard 15 May 2020
      Replying to @lol_you_lost @Comparativist

      If your metric for success is "bending the curve", then you will get the best results with uncontrolled spread followed by a complete lockdown, which leads to nonsense like Italy being praised over Sweden in the original tweet upthread

      2 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
    7. lol you lost‏ @lol_you_lost 15 May 2020
      Replying to @Pinboard @Comparativist

      I mean I get what you're saying. Looking at curve shapes alone is kind of useless without more context but when you're comparing outbreaks of similar order of magnitude it definitely tells you something

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      Pinboard‏ @Pinboard 15 May 2020
      Replying to @lol_you_lost @Comparativist

      My beef with it is that it ignores enormous differences in order of magnitude, which tell us something much more interesting about this disease than this contour. The NYT visualization, for example, lists Vietnam as "rising number of cases" despite zero deaths in the country.

      11:44 PM - 15 May 2020
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      0 replies 0 retweets 1 like

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