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Pinboard

@Pinboard

The light inside is broken, but I still work. The Cadillac of online bookmarking sites. Alleged nocoiner. http://pinboard.in  maciej@ceglowski.com +1 415 610 0231

Lonely street of broken dreams
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    1. Pinboard‏ @Pinboard 12 May 2020

      Pinboard Retweeted magdalena osumi  💁🏼‍♀️

      What the actual fuck is going on?https://twitter.com/jt_mag_os/status/1260184689991577606 …

      Pinboard added,

      magdalena osumi  💁🏼‍♀️ @jt_mag_os
      Tokyo overall mortality data shows no surge in deaths during pandemic. https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2020/05/12/national/tokyo-overall-mortality-data-shows-no-surge-deaths-pandemic/ …
      12 replies 12 retweets 85 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Pinboard‏ @Pinboard 12 May 2020

      The claim that Japan had a large outbreak in March and April but hid it with insufficient testing is no longer tenable. Or at the very least, you have to move it to April!

      5 replies 1 retweet 41 likes
      Show this thread
      Pinboard‏ @Pinboard 12 May 2020

      Sorry, I should be more precise. The untenable claim is that an outbreak happened with the same kind of mortality rate we see in the US and Europe. You could conceivably still argue that lots of people got sick in Japan except that nearly everyone was asymptomatic.

      3:20 PM - 12 May 2020
      • 1 Retweet
      • 19 Likes
      • druglord juggalo Mihai Chereji Princess Pricklepants 🦔 Don't forget to get a flu shot. Allways (((tometaxu))) Logan Bowers Greg Stoll 💉💉🎉 LukÄç.jpg.exe
      5 replies 1 retweet 19 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Ant Stanley #BLM‏ @IamStan 12 May 2020
          Replying to @Pinboard

          No idea how accurate, but saw on here that if an entire population wears masks you cut down chance of transmission to 1.5% ... looks like their could be some truth to that

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Ant Stanley #BLM‏ @IamStan 12 May 2020
          Replying to @IamStan @Pinboard

          here we go ... 1.5% comes from Taiwanese governmenthttps://www.taipeitimes.com/News/taiwan/archives/2020/05/04/2003735785 …

          0 replies 1 retweet 1 like
        4. End of conversation
        1. New conversation
        2. Bazzargh‏ @bazzargh 12 May 2020
          Replying to @Pinboard

          obvious followup question would be, has there been random sample serology testing done, to determine if there really were a lot more infected? So I googled, there has, and there were: https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.04.26.20079822v1.full.pdf … 33 +ve/1000 in Kobe, ~500x > than confirmed

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Edmund Edgar‏ @edmundedgar 12 May 2020
          Replying to @bazzargh @Pinboard

          Lots of these little serology studies find 3% in places with near-zero known cases. Places with more infections don't have these huge asymptomatic ratios. Explanations: a) covid19 doesn't make you sick until your friends also have it b) the tests have like 3% false positives

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. End of conversation
        1. Jake Nelson‏ @JakeNelsonMN 12 May 2020
          Replying to @Pinboard

          as far as I can tell the only plausible explanations are: - a different, mild coronavirus passed through Japan and a couple other places recently and is close enough that immunity to it gives partial protection (in which case we need to find it for a vaccine) - something genetic

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. Not just any Beaumont‏ @TheBeaumont 12 May 2020
          Replying to @Pinboard

          Between garbage data, varying approaches to lockdown (incl. variations in type and level of compliance), underlying health stuff, likely geographic variations in transmissibility and severity of illness, etc., I can confidently say we don’t know what works and what doesn’t.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. skrvad‏ @ramukiasv 12 May 2020
          Replying to @Pinboard

          Interesting. And Japan has a relatively high percentage of people older than 60y

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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