If you write an article about how Sweden or Belarus or Florida is going to be carpeted with bodies because they didn't follow social distancing rules, and then it doesn't happen, please have the courtesy to write a follow-up about how it's curious that those forecasts were wrong
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Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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But are the newspapers saying, "Sweden didn't follow public health recommendations and bad things will happen," or "Sweden didn't follow public health recommendations, and here are the risks?" It's a subtlety, but I don't think the latter requires correction. (1/?)
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Analogize to econ policy. Academic economics has very poor short-term predictive ability. Dismal science, etc. But when public officials make policy contrary to established econ, it's still news (and censure) worthy. (2/?)
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