We could also use a retraction from @tylercowen, who published the same claims on April 21.https://marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2020/04/the-japanese-coronavirus-story.html …
Let's talk about Tokyo, since that's more directly comparable. Your argument is that behavior there changed because of media reports. I'm pointing out the same was true of NYC when their numbers started sharply rising. People watch and react to the news everywhere
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There was a consensus that case counts were rising rapidly, that the hospital system there would soon be overwhelmed, and the situation was slipping out of control. And then it didn't. That's what is interesting about what happened.
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Yes I agree - my guess would be that Tokyo had its shit together drastically more in terms of testing, contact tracing, etc. I would have to look at the numbers, but I also think NYC blew up really fast, likely due to undetected initial spread.
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