Still getting people in my comments insisting that Japan must be hiding tens of thousands of new cases, because the decline in the official numbers doesn't match their expectations of how outbreaks happen and are contained. But the decline is real, not an artifact of testing.https://twitter.com/motokorich/status/1259778325410508800 …
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You'd think the example of an elderly society that did very little to contain an outbreak and got it under control would attract more attention. Either what they did was extraordinarily effective (masks? cluster chasing?) or there's another factor at work, or both those things.
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Replying to @Pinboard
Assume they expected worse too given how they scrambled in early April after the baseline increase in Tokyo, so I imagine they are a bit surprised too, and if they can't figure out the reason not sure anyone outside Japan can do much more (they have good scientists).
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The mood in early April, even at the prefectural government level, was one of pessimism and near panic. There was serious talk of 400,000 dead. Surprise is the right word for sure.
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