Whatever is happening in Japan, things genuinely seem to have turned a corner. This is not what knowledgeable people in the public health system expected to see happen. It's vital that we figure out why rapidly growing infection numbers didn't culminate in a crisis here in April.https://twitter.com/jt_mag_os/status/1259403143659483136 …
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Japan undertested, never really locked down, and by mid-March there was uncontrolled community spread in Osaka, Kobe and Tokyo at a minimum. School resumed even as the hospital system started to come under real strain. And then things started easing up. No good theories why.
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You can say masks did it, but mask-wearing was already ubiquitous during the time when cases were on the rise in March. Behavior changed a lot, but restaurants and offices never fully closed. It is a huge relief after media warnings of 400K potential deaths, but also a puzzle.
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I rib
@patio11 a lot, but he's a smart guy with his ear to the ground here, and he was anticipating a vastly different outcome, too. I will say personally that it's delightful to be wrong in these circumstances. My doom and gloom was not consistent with what happened.2 replies 0 retweets 21 likesShow this thread -
I want to re-iterate that I'm not being coy with some private theory, but struggling to understand a disease that made way more sense to me in March.
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This pattern is typical. We saw it in South Korea, for example. At this point, the burden of proof is on you to produce the bodies and the proof of nationwide conspiracy.pic.twitter.com/8itrsLKZj1
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